Hamilton 1-3 Livingston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.78
Over 2.5
41%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.05
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.82
6+ Goals
9%
16.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 32% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.03
1/2
14%
26.5
1/X
10%
13.7
X/1
11%
6.74
X/2
14%
4.61
X/X
11%
4.42
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
11%
2.95
2/X
8%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+2.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-5.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.2pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamilton EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Livingston EU Bookmakers 48%
-8% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +15%
0.77/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.41
-32% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
216 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 70%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
9.2 Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamilton
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Livingston
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.68 xG 1.93
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
194 Passes 233
57% Pass Accuracy 62%
8 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.09.2024 Livingston Livingston 3-0 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
22.07.2023 Livingston Livingston 1-1 HT 0-1 Hamilton Hamilton İKLK
13.03.2021 Livingston Livingston 2-1 HT 2-1 Hamilton Hamilton İKP
23.12.2020 Hamilton Hamilton 0-2 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
12.09.2020 Livingston Livingston 1-2 HT 1-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKP
25.01.2020 Hamilton Hamilton 2-4 HT 1-2 Livingston Livingston İKP
FAQ Hamilton vs Livingston
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Livingston beat Hamilton 3-1 away from home in the Scotland - Championship on 9 Nov 2024. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 41% and both teams to score was close to even at 44%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Livingston lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hamilton and 2.17 for Livingston.

What was the final score of Hamilton vs Livingston?

Hamilton 1-3 Livingston in the Scotland - Championship on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamilton vs Livingston?

Before kick-off our model rated an Livingston win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hamilton 32%, draw 29%, Livingston 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Livingston) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Livingston) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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