Queens Park 2-1 Dunfermline Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.78
Over 2.5
39%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.75
No
58%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.03
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.86
6+ Goals
9%
17.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 33% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.68
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
5%
13.0
X/1
9%
5.38
X/2
9%
5.65
X/X
16%
4.29
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
14%
3.94
2/X
9%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.3pp
30%
Away Win
35%
-4.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-11.3pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queens Park EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 38%
-10% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
1.12/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.44
-11% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
32.0 Crosses 4.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queens Park
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-2 HT 0-1 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
20.04.2024 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
10.02.2024 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-3 HT 0-0 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
05.01.2024 Queens Park Queens Park 2-1 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
16.09.2023 Queens Park Queens Park 0-2 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
07.05.2022 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Queens Park Queens Park İK1
POST-MATCH Queens Park vs Dunfermline Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queens Park squeezed past Dunfermline Athletic 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Queens Park found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queens Park had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Queens Park and 0.67 for Dunfermline Athletic.

What was the final score of Queens Park vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Queens Park 2-1 Dunfermline Athletic in the Scotland - Championship on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queens Park vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queens Park win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Queens Park 39%, draw 30%, Dunfermline Athletic 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Queens Park) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Queens Park) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İKCL More Scotland - Championship
9 Nov 2024
18:00 Partick Thistle vs Raith Rovers Analysis →
18:00 Hamilton vs Livingston Analysis →
18:00 Falkirk vs Airdrieonians Analysis →