Livingston 3-0 Hamilton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.22
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.31
6+ Goals
11%
12.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 27% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.97
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.8
X/1
25%
3.95
X/2
9%
10.95
X/X
10%
5.46
2/1
7%
23.0
2/2
7%
9.15
2/X
6%
17.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
60%
-3.1pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.9pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+4.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Livingston EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamilton EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.94/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/2.07
+2% / +88% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
309 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
8.0 Crosses 2.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Livingston
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Hamilton
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.96 xG 0.34
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
232 Passes 177
62% Pass Accuracy 56%
29 Box Touches 8
25 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Hamilton Hamilton 1-3 HT 1-1 Livingston Livingston İKCL
14.09.2024 Livingston Livingston 3-0 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
22.07.2023 Livingston Livingston 1-1 HT 0-1 Hamilton Hamilton İKLK
13.03.2021 Livingston Livingston 2-1 HT 2-1 Hamilton Hamilton İKP
23.12.2020 Hamilton Hamilton 0-2 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
12.09.2020 Livingston Livingston 1-2 HT 1-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKP
POST-MATCH Livingston vs Hamilton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Livingston ran out comfortable winners over Hamilton 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Livingston as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Livingston had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Livingston and 0.83 for Hamilton.

What was the final score of Livingston vs Hamilton?

Livingston 3-0 Hamilton in the Scotland - Championship on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Livingston vs Hamilton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Livingston win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Livingston 56%, draw 22%, Hamilton 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Livingston), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Livingston) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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