Queens Park 1-2 Greenock Morton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.68
2-3 Goals
45%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
3.9
6+ Goals
7%
18.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 30% vs market 29.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.69
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.8
X/1
15%
4.43
X/2
7%
7.56
X/X
15%
4.35
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
14%
6.09
2/X
7%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-2.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.7pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queens Park EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 29%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -10%
2.06/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.20
+21% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
319 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
3.0 Crosses 8.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queens Park
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Greenock Morton
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
9 Corners 3
29.10.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-1 HT 0-1 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
14.09.2024 Queens Park Queens Park 1-0 HT 1-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
30.03.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 2-0 HT 0-0 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
17.02.2024 Queens Park Queens Park 0-0 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
16.12.2023 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-0 HT 1-0 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
07.10.2023 Queens Park Queens Park 0-0 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
POST-MATCH Queens Park vs Greenock Morton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greenock Morton edged past Queens Park 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Queens Park at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Queens Park and 0.50 for Greenock Morton.

What was the final score of Queens Park vs Greenock Morton?

Queens Park 1-2 Greenock Morton in the Scotland - Championship on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queens Park vs Greenock Morton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queens Park win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Queens Park 45%, draw 29%, Greenock Morton 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Queens Park) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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