Airdrieonians 3-0 Dunfermline Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
42%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.64
2-3 Goals
35%
1.71
4-5 Goals
24%
3.96
6+ Goals
8%
19.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.06
1/2
11%
27.0
1/X
8%
14.85
X/1
11%
7.5
X/2
14%
4.44
X/X
14%
4.3
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
17%
2.72
2/X
6%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+3.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-5.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Airdrieonians EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 51%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -37%
1.17/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.32
+15% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -21%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
297 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
6.0 Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Airdrieonians
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
6 Crosses 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
16.11.2024 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
05.10.2024 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 1-1 HT 0-1 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
13.04.2024 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 2-1 HT 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
05.03.2024 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-2 HT 0-1 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
09.12.2023 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 1-2 HT 0-1 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
05.08.2023 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 2-1 HT 1-1 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
POST-MATCH Airdrieonians vs Dunfermline Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Airdrieonians cruised past Dunfermline Athletic 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Dunfermline Athletic at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dunfermline Athletic led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Airdrieonians and 1.17 for Dunfermline Athletic.

What was the final score of Airdrieonians vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Airdrieonians 3-0 Dunfermline Athletic in the Scotland - Championship on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Airdrieonians vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dunfermline Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Airdrieonians 30%, draw 28%, Dunfermline Athletic 42%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Dunfermline Athletic), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dunfermline Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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