Arbroath 1-0 Airdrieonians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 30 Aug 2025

Arbroath
1-0 HT 0-0
Airdrieonians
📅30/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Scotland - Championship – 2025/2026

Arbroath vs Airdrieonians Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.13
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.32
6+ Goals
13%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 30% vs market 24.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.04
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
10%
4.95
X/2
9%
6.5
X/X
12%
4.68
2/1
6%
24.95
2/2
17%
4.63
2/X
9%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-1.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arbroath v Airdrieonians — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arbroath EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Airdrieonians EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.46/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.65
-3% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
155 · 94% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 122 · 92%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 3.0
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Arbroath vs Airdrieonians Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arbroath
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Airdrieonians
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
The Meetings
16.03.2024 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 5-2 HT 2-1 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
11.11.2023 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 2-0 HT 1-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
16.09.2023 Arbroath Arbroath 4-0 HT 2-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
24.03.2012 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 2-0 HT 0-0 Arbroath Arbroath İK1
26.11.2011 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 3-3 HT 1-2 Arbroath Arbroath İK1
10.04.2004 Arbroath Arbroath 0-4 HT 0-1 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İK1
POST-MATCH Arbroath vs Airdrieonians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arbroath nicked a narrow win over Airdrieonians 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arbroath as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Airdrieonians led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Arbroath and 2.67 for Airdrieonians.

What was the final score of Arbroath vs Airdrieonians?

Arbroath 1-0 Airdrieonians in the Scotland - Championship on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arbroath vs Airdrieonians?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arbroath win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Arbroath 41%, draw 27%, Airdrieonians 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arbroath), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arbroath) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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