St. Johnstone 1-1 Greenock Morton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 30 Aug 2025

St. Johnstone
1-1 HT 0-1
Greenock Morton
📅30/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2025/2026

St. Johnstone vs Greenock Morton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
12%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.21
6+ Goals
11%
11.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 29% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.7
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
8%
17.85
X/1
26%
3.72
X/2
5%
14.1
X/X
11%
5.87
2/1
8%
23.65
2/2
4%
12.5
2/X
6%
20.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
66%
-3.5pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.1pp
12%
Away Win
13%
-0.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.6pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Johnstone v Greenock Morton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 16%
+3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +19%
2.90/0.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/2.10
+56% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
391 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 2.0
– Yellow Cards 3.0

St. Johnstone vs Greenock Morton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Johnstone
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Greenock Morton
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
The Meetings
20.07.2024 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 2-0 HT 2-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKLK
18.01.2020 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 3-0 HT 1-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKK
09.07.2019 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 2-3 HT 0-2 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone HAZ
27.10.2015 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-3 HT 0-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKLK
30.10.2013 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-1 HT 0-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKLK
24.08.2010 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 2-0 HT 1-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKLK
POST-MATCH St. Johnstone vs Greenock Morton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Johnstone and Greenock Morton couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. St. Johnstone carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Johnstone had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for St. Johnstone and 0.50 for Greenock Morton.

What was the final score of St. Johnstone vs Greenock Morton?

St. Johnstone 1-1 Greenock Morton in the Scotland - Championship on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Johnstone vs Greenock Morton?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Johnstone win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split St. Johnstone 63%, draw 25%, Greenock Morton 12%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (St. Johnstone), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Johnstone) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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