St. Johnstone 2-0 Greenock Morton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 20 Jul 2024

St. Johnstone
2-0 HT 2-0
Greenock Morton
📅20/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Scotland - League Cup – 2024/2025

St. Johnstone vs Greenock Morton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
32%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.3
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.58
6+ Goals
8%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 30% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
57%
-13.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
32%
Away Win
18%
+14.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.4pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Johnstone v Greenock Morton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.93/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.99
-52% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 68%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

St. Johnstone vs Greenock Morton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Johnstone
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Greenock Morton
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
The Meetings
18.01.2020 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 3-0 HT 1-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKK
09.07.2019 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 2-3 HT 0-2 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone HAZ
27.10.2015 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-3 HT 0-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKLK
30.10.2013 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-1 HT 0-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKLK
24.08.2010 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 2-0 HT 1-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKLK
02.05.2009 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 3-1 HT 1-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
POST-MATCH St. Johnstone vs Greenock Morton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Johnstone beat Greenock Morton 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had St. Johnstone as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Johnstone had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for St. Johnstone and 0.67 for Greenock Morton.

What was the final score of St. Johnstone vs Greenock Morton?

St. Johnstone 2-0 Greenock Morton in the Scotland - League Cup on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Johnstone vs Greenock Morton?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Johnstone win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split St. Johnstone 44%, draw 24%, Greenock Morton 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Johnstone), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Johnstone) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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