Livingston 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.89
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.9
Over 2.5
41%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
3.33
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.55
6+ Goals
9%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 34% vs market 24.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
49%
-11.9pp
32%
Draw
24%
+8.0pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
49%
+10.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
51%
-10.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.6pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Livingston EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.60/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.13
-4% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +40%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
285 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Livingston
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
03.04.2018 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-0 HT 1-0 Livingston Livingston İKCL
10.02.2018 Livingston Livingston 0-0 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
21.10.2017 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 3-1 HT 3-0 Livingston Livingston İKCL
05.08.2017 Livingston Livingston 1-1 HT 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
11.07.2015 Livingston Livingston 0-0 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic HAZ
30.03.2013 Livingston Livingston 2-2 HT 0-1 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
FAQ Livingston vs Dunfermline Athletic
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Livingston edged past Dunfermline Athletic 1-0 in the Scotland - League Cup on 20 Jul 2024.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 41% and both teams to score was close to even at 45%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dunfermline Athletic lead the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Livingston and 1.17 for Dunfermline Athletic.

What was the final score of Livingston vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Livingston 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic in the Scotland - League Cup on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Livingston vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Livingston win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Livingston 38%, draw 32%, Dunfermline Athletic 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Livingston), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Livingston) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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