Stranraer 0-3 Hamilton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 20 Jul 2024

Stranraer
0-3 HT 0-1
Hamilton
📅20/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Scotland - League Cup – 2024/2025

Stranraer vs Hamilton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.34
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
57%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.29
Over 2.5
64%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
4.6
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
31%
2.87
6+ Goals
14%
8.14
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.87 — our 31% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
16%
+4.7pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.6pp
57%
Away Win
64%
-7.3pp
36%
Under 2.5
40%
-3.5pp
64%
Over 2.5
60%
+3.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.8pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stranraer v Hamilton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stranraer EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamilton EU Bookmakers 69%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.05/2.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.30/0.89
+113% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -2%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
277 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 451 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Stranraer vs Hamilton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stranraer
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Hamilton
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
The Meetings
12.07.2022 Hamilton Hamilton 5-2 HT 0-0 Stranraer Stranraer İKLK
11.11.2020 Stranraer Stranraer 2-1 HT 1-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKLK
28.03.2006 Hamilton Hamilton 1-0 HT 0-0 Stranraer Stranraer İKCL
26.12.2005 Stranraer Stranraer 5-4 HT 0-1 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
29.10.2005 Hamilton Hamilton 2-0 HT 1-0 Stranraer Stranraer İKCL
10.09.2005 Stranraer Stranraer 1-2 HT 1-2 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
FAQ Stranraer vs Hamilton
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Hamilton ran out comfortable winners over Stranraer 3-0 away from home in the Scotland - League Cup on 20 Jul 2024. Half-time: 0-1.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 64% and both teams to score was close to even at 55%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamilton lead the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Stranraer and 2.50 for Hamilton.

What was the final score of Stranraer vs Hamilton?

Stranraer 0-3 Hamilton in the Scotland - League Cup on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stranraer vs Hamilton?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hamilton win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Stranraer 21%, draw 22%, Hamilton 57%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamilton), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hamilton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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