Airdrieonians 5-2 Arbroath — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-12.2pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.4pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.5pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Airdrieonians EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Arbroath EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
447 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.5
Crosses 13.5
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Airdrieonians
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Arbroath
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
11.11.2023 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 2-0 HT 1-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
16.09.2023 Arbroath Arbroath 4-0 HT 2-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
24.03.2012 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 2-0 HT 0-0 Arbroath Arbroath İK1
26.11.2011 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 3-3 HT 1-2 Arbroath Arbroath İK1
10.04.2004 Arbroath Arbroath 0-4 HT 0-1 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İK1
24.01.2004 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 0-1 HT 0-0 Arbroath Arbroath İK1
POST-MATCH Airdrieonians vs Arbroath
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Airdrieonians cruised past Arbroath 5-2. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Airdrieonians as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Airdrieonians had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Airdrieonians and 1.33 for Arbroath.

What was the final score of Airdrieonians vs Arbroath?

Airdrieonians 5-2 Arbroath in the Scotland - Championship on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Airdrieonians vs Arbroath?

Before kick-off our model rated a Airdrieonians win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Airdrieonians 51%, draw 25%, Arbroath 25%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Airdrieonians), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Airdrieonians) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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