Partick Thistle 2-1 Greenock Morton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.79
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.18
6+ Goals
8%
20.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.4
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
10%
4.9
X/2
10%
5.87
X/X
12%
4.22
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
19%
4.38
2/X
10%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-5.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.9pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Partick Thistle EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 36%
+4% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +13%
1.33/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/1.55
+5% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +42%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
39.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
22.5 Crosses 8.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Partick Thistle
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Greenock Morton
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
13.01.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-1 HT 1-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
11.11.2023 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 2-1 HT 1-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
02.09.2023 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-4 HT 1-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
11.03.2023 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-0 HT 0-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
07.01.2023 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 2-1 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
12.11.2022 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 2-1 HT 1-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Partick Thistle
2-1
AWAY Greenock Morton
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 7
2 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Partick Thistle vs Greenock Morton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Partick Thistle nicked a narrow win over Greenock Morton 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Partick Thistle found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Partick Thistle had 53% of the ball to Greenock Morton's 47%, shots finished 9-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Partick Thistle had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Partick Thistle and 1.00 for Greenock Morton.

What was the final score of Partick Thistle vs Greenock Morton?

Partick Thistle 2-1 Greenock Morton in the Scotland - Championship on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Partick Thistle vs Greenock Morton?

Before kick-off our model rated an Greenock Morton win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Partick Thistle 35%, draw 28%, Greenock Morton 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Greenock Morton) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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