Inverness CT 1-2 Ayr United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.85
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.1
6+ Goals
8%
19.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.11
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.7
X/1
16%
4.64
X/2
14%
6.35
X/X
16%
4.29
2/1
9%
28.0
2/2
10%
4.84
2/X
9%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-2.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inverness CT EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayr United EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +6%
1.08/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.77
-32% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
356 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 74%
12.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.5 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inverness CT
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ayr United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
06.01.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 1-3 HT 0-1 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL
11.11.2023 Inverness CT Inverness CT 3-1 HT 3-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
12.08.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 1-0 HT 1-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL
05.05.2023 Inverness CT Inverness CT 1-2 HT 0-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
04.03.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 1-2 HT 1-1 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL
19.11.2022 Inverness CT Inverness CT 2-2 HT 1-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inverness CT
1-2
AWAY Ayr United
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 5
6 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Inverness CT vs Ayr United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayr United nicked a narrow win over Inverness CT 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 30% — and on the day Ayr United made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Inverness CT had 51% of the ball to Ayr United's 49%, shots finished 5-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inverness CT had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Inverness CT and 1.33 for Ayr United.

What was the final score of Inverness CT vs Ayr United?

Inverness CT 1-2 Ayr United in the Scotland - Championship on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inverness CT vs Ayr United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inverness CT win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Inverness CT 40%, draw 29%, Ayr United 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Inverness CT) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İKCL More Scotland - Championship
16 Mar 2024
18:00 Partick Thistle vs Greenock Morton Analysis →
18:00 Queens Park vs Raith Rovers Analysis →
18:00 Airdrieonians vs Arbroath Analysis →