Greenock Morton 0-4 St. Johnstone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 25 Oct 2025

Greenock Morton
0-4 HT 0-4
St. Johnstone
📅25/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2025/2026

Greenock Morton vs St. Johnstone Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.13
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
54%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.07
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.46
6+ Goals
8%
13.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 31% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
7.74
1/2
10%
24.0
1/X
8%
16.2
X/1
5%
9.47
X/2
16%
4.17
X/X
12%
4.99
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
27%
2.22
2/X
7%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
21%
-1.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
54%
Away Win
54%
-0.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.2pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Greenock Morton v St. Johnstone — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 58%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -24%
1.09/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/2.01
+10% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -53%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
148 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 164 · 81%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
28.0 Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards –

Greenock Morton vs St. Johnstone Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greenock Morton
0W-1D-5L
AWAY St. Johnstone
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
The Meetings
30.08.2025 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-1 HT 0-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
20.07.2024 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 2-0 HT 2-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKLK
18.01.2020 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 3-0 HT 1-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKK
09.07.2019 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 2-3 HT 0-2 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone HAZ
27.10.2015 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-3 HT 0-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKLK
30.10.2013 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-1 HT 0-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKLK
POST-MATCH Greenock Morton vs St. Johnstone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Johnstone swept aside Greenock Morton 4-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had St. Johnstone as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Johnstone led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Greenock Morton and 2.17 for St. Johnstone.

What was the final score of Greenock Morton vs St. Johnstone?

Greenock Morton 0-4 St. Johnstone in the Scotland - Championship on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenock Morton vs St. Johnstone?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Johnstone win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Greenock Morton 20%, draw 27%, St. Johnstone 54%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Johnstone) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Johnstone) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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