Airdrieonians 1-0 Arbroath — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 25 Oct 2025

Airdrieonians
1-0 HT 1-0
Arbroath
📅25/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2025/2026

Airdrieonians vs Arbroath Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
46%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.79
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.79
6+ Goals
10%
17.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.42
1/2
5%
28.0
1/X
8%
13.95
X/1
7%
6.05
X/2
12%
5.09
X/X
12%
4.45
2/1
6%
32.5
2/2
29%
3.39
2/X
6%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
34%
-6.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
46%
Away Win
39%
+7.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Airdrieonians v Arbroath — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Airdrieonians EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Arbroath EU Bookmakers 43%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.33/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.88
+12% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
6.0 Crosses –
4.0 Yellow Cards –

Airdrieonians vs Arbroath Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Airdrieonians
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Arbroath
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
The Meetings
30.08.2025 Arbroath Arbroath 1-0 HT 0-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
16.03.2024 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 5-2 HT 2-1 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
11.11.2023 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 2-0 HT 1-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
16.09.2023 Arbroath Arbroath 4-0 HT 2-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
24.03.2012 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 2-0 HT 0-0 Arbroath Arbroath İK1
26.11.2011 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 3-3 HT 1-2 Arbroath Arbroath İK1
POST-MATCH Airdrieonians vs Arbroath
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Airdrieonians squeezed past Arbroath 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Arbroath at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Airdrieonians had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Airdrieonians and 1.67 for Arbroath.

What was the final score of Airdrieonians vs Arbroath?

Airdrieonians 1-0 Arbroath in the Scotland - Championship on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Airdrieonians vs Arbroath?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arbroath win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Airdrieonians 28%, draw 26%, Arbroath 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arbroath), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arbroath) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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