Ayr United vs Arbroath Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ayr United v Arbroath — Team-Based Signals
Ayr United vs Arbroath Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Ayr United squeezed past Arbroath 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ayr United as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ayr United had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ayr United and 0.50 for Arbroath.
What was the final score of Ayr United vs Arbroath?
Ayr United 1-0 Arbroath in the Scotland - Championship on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ayr United vs Arbroath?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ayr United 44%, draw 24%, Arbroath 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ayr United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.