Partick Thistle 2-0 Dunfermline Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.82
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.85
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
3.64
6+ Goals
8%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 35% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.47
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1 EV+ ✗
23%
4.3
X/2
10%
8.11
X/X
7%
4.57
2/1
6%
24.8
2/2
14%
6.55
2/X
6%
15.1
Value flag · X/1 at 4.3 — our 23% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
51%
+0.0pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.4pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.4pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Partick Thistle EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -6%
1.50/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.59
-4% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
181 · 93% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 143 · 90%
41.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
15.2 Crosses 5.9
1.2 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Partick Thistle
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
24.02.2026 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 2-2 HT 0-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
25.11.2025 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 1-0 HT 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
27.09.2025 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-2 HT 0-2 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
19.04.2025 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
04.01.2025 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 1-4 HT 1-3 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
02.11.2024 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
POST-MATCH Partick Thistle vs Dunfermline Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Partick Thistle saw off Dunfermline Athletic 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Partick Thistle as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Partick Thistle had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Partick Thistle and 1.00 for Dunfermline Athletic.

What was the final score of Partick Thistle vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Partick Thistle 2-0 Dunfermline Athletic in the Scotland - Championship on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Partick Thistle vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Partick Thistle win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Partick Thistle 51%, draw 20%, Dunfermline Athletic 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Partick Thistle), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Partick Thistle) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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