Partick Thistle 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 25 Nov 2025

📅25/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.6
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.16
6+ Goals
11%
20.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.7
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1
12%
4.48
X/2
8%
7.95
X/X
11%
4.21
2/1
9%
28.0
2/2
13%
6.54
2/X
7%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+0.1pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.8pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.6pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Partick Thistle EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -19%
1.49/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.49
-9% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
41.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
15.2 Crosses 5.9
1.2 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Partick Thistle
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
6 Crosses 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
27.09.2025 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-2 HT 0-2 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
19.04.2025 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
04.01.2025 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 1-4 HT 1-3 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
02.11.2024 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
21.09.2024 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 1-0 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
06.04.2024 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
POST-MATCH Partick Thistle vs Dunfermline Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Partick Thistle squeezed past Dunfermline Athletic 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Partick Thistle as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Partick Thistle had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Partick Thistle and 0.83 for Dunfermline Athletic.

What was the final score of Partick Thistle vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Partick Thistle 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic in the Scotland - Championship on 25/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Partick Thistle vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Partick Thistle win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Partick Thistle 49%, draw 25%, Dunfermline Athletic 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Partick Thistle), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Partick Thistle) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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