Partick Thistle 1-4 Dunfermline Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
21%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.43
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
4.35
6+ Goals
11%
23.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.75
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.7
X/1
17%
4.18
X/2
7%
7.57
X/X
10%
4.1
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
9%
6.3
2/X
8%
15.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
48%
+7.7pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.9pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-2.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.2pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Partick Thistle EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -18%
1.57/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.55
-10% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
385 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 75%
41.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
15.2 Crosses 5.9
1.2 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Partick Thistle
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 6
6 Crosses 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
02.11.2024 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
21.09.2024 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 1-0 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
06.04.2024 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
23.02.2024 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 1-3 HT 1-1 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
16.12.2023 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-2 HT 0-2 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
30.09.2023 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 3-0 HT 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
POST-MATCH Partick Thistle vs Dunfermline Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunfermline Athletic ran out comfortable winners over Partick Thistle 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Partick Thistle carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Partick Thistle had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Partick Thistle and 0.83 for Dunfermline Athletic.

What was the final score of Partick Thistle vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Partick Thistle 1-4 Dunfermline Athletic in the Scotland - Championship on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Partick Thistle vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Partick Thistle win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Partick Thistle 56%, draw 23%, Dunfermline Athletic 21%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Partick Thistle) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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