Ayr United 3-0 Raith Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.54
Over 2.5
46%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.23
2-3 Goals
36%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
4.88
6+ Goals
11%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.75
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.7
X/1
21%
4.01
X/2
11%
7.52
X/X
13%
3.96
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
6%
6.57
2/X
9%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.0pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
61%
-7.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
39%
+7.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayr United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Raith Rovers EU Bookmakers 27%
+5% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +8%
1.99/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.19
+17% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
279 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
Crosses 13.5
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ayr United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Raith Rovers
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Corners 6
01.11.2024 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 2-0 HT 2-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
08.09.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 3-2 HT 0-2 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCK
24.08.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 2-0 HT 1-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
06.04.2024 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
24.02.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 1-2 HT 1-2 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
22.12.2023 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 4-4 HT 2-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
POST-MATCH Ayr United vs Raith Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayr United swept aside Raith Rovers 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ayr United as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Raith Rovers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ayr United and 2.00 for Raith Rovers.

What was the final score of Ayr United vs Raith Rovers?

Ayr United 3-0 Raith Rovers in the Scotland - Championship on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayr United vs Raith Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ayr United 47%, draw 30%, Raith Rovers 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ayr United), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ayr United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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