Ayr United 2-0 Raith Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 24 Aug 2024

Ayr United
2-0 HT 1-0
Raith Rovers
📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2024/2025

Ayr United vs Raith Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.63
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.32
6+ Goals
10%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 26% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.28
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.0
X/1
16%
4.13
X/2
9%
9.0
X/X
9%
5.1
2/1
8%
23.15
2/2
13%
6.76
2/X
7%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+7.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.1pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ayr United v Raith Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayr United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Raith Rovers EU Bookmakers 25%
-7% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
1.84/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.58
+4% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
– Crosses 13.0
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Ayr United vs Raith Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ayr United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Raith Rovers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 6
The Meetings
06.04.2024 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
24.02.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 1-2 HT 1-2 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
22.12.2023 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 4-4 HT 2-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
30.09.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 1-2 HT 0-2 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
29.04.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 1-0 HT 0-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
24.02.2023 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
POST-MATCH Ayr United vs Raith Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayr United beat Raith Rovers 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ayr United as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Raith Rovers led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ayr United and 1.67 for Raith Rovers.

What was the final score of Ayr United vs Raith Rovers?

Ayr United 2-0 Raith Rovers in the Scotland - Championship on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayr United vs Raith Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ayr United 46%, draw 25%, Raith Rovers 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ayr United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ayr United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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