Raith Rovers 2-1 Ayr United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 6 Apr 2024

Raith Rovers
2-1 HT 1-0
Ayr United
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2025/2026

Raith Rovers vs Ayr United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.21
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.66
6+ Goals
13%
15.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 29% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.41
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.55
X/1
18%
3.94
X/2
11%
7.96
X/X
10%
5.12
2/1
10%
23.6
2/2
13%
6.26
2/X
6%
16.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-7.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Raith Rovers v Ayr United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raith Rovers EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayr United EU Bookmakers 27%
-8% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +11%
2.00/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.71
+16% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
180 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 152 · 86%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Raith Rovers vs Ayr United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raith Rovers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ayr United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
The Meetings
24.02.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 1-2 HT 1-2 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
22.12.2023 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 4-4 HT 2-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
30.09.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 1-2 HT 0-2 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
29.04.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 1-0 HT 0-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
24.02.2023 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
03.12.2022 Ayr United Ayr United 2-0 HT 1-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
POST-MATCH Raith Rovers vs Ayr United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raith Rovers edged past Ayr United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Raith Rovers as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Raith Rovers and 1.50 for Ayr United.

What was the final score of Raith Rovers vs Ayr United?

Raith Rovers 2-1 Ayr United in the Scotland - Championship on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raith Rovers vs Ayr United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Raith Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Raith Rovers 46%, draw 24%, Ayr United 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Raith Rovers), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Raith Rovers) ✓ Over 2.5
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