Dunfermline Athletic 1-1 Partick Thistle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.52
2-3 Goals
33%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.4
6+ Goals
14%
12.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.84
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
27.0
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
10%
5.74
X/2
11%
5.35
X/X
14%
4.78
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
18%
3.49
2/X
6%
13.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.0 — our 9% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
38%
Away Win
38%
+0.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Partick Thistle EU Bookmakers 42%
-8% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +7%
1.33/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.40/0.96
-18% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
342 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 71%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
15.0 Crosses 17.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunfermline Athletic
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Partick Thistle
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.33 xG 0.46
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
272 Passes 340
71% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2024 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 1-3 HT 1-1 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
16.12.2023 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-2 HT 0-2 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
30.09.2023 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 3-0 HT 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
21.01.2023 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 1-1 HT 0-1 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKK
23.04.2022 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 1-0 HT 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
22.03.2022 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 4-1 HT 3-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
POST-MATCH Dunfermline Athletic vs Partick Thistle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunfermline Athletic and Partick Thistle shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Partick Thistle led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dunfermline Athletic and 1.50 for Partick Thistle.

What was the final score of Dunfermline Athletic vs Partick Thistle?

Dunfermline Athletic 1-1 Partick Thistle in the Scotland - Championship on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunfermline Athletic vs Partick Thistle?

Before kick-off our model rated an Partick Thistle win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dunfermline Athletic 35%, draw 26%, Partick Thistle 38%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Partick Thistle) ✗ Over 2.5
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