Falkirk 2-1 Partick Thistle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
34%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.63
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.33
6+ Goals
11%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 24% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.32
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.85
X/1
15%
4.17
X/2
11%
9.0
X/X
11%
5.05
2/1
6%
23.15
2/2
15%
6.74
2/X
6%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
53%
-12.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
34%
Away Win
22%
+12.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.3pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Falkirk EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Partick Thistle EU Bookmakers 25%
-1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.75/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.67
-1% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
359 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.7
Crosses 26.7
Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Falkirk
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Partick Thistle
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
22.07.2023 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 2-2 HT 0-1 Falkirk Falkirk İKLK
23.09.2022 Falkirk Falkirk 2-0 HT 1-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCK
29.04.2021 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 5-0 HT 3-0 Falkirk Falkirk İSK1
26.12.2020 Falkirk Falkirk 0-0 HT 0-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İK1
07.11.2020 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 2-2 HT 0-1 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
16.03.2019 Falkirk Falkirk 1-1 HT 1-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
POST-MATCH Falkirk vs Partick Thistle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Falkirk edged past Partick Thistle 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 34% — and on the day Falkirk made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Falkirk and 1.67 for Partick Thistle.

What was the final score of Falkirk vs Partick Thistle?

Falkirk 2-1 Partick Thistle in the Scotland - Championship on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Falkirk vs Partick Thistle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Falkirk win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Falkirk 40%, draw 25%, Partick Thistle 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Falkirk) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Falkirk) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İKCL More Scotland - Championship
24 Aug 2024
17:00 Airdrieonians vs Queens Park Analysis →
17:00 Ayr United vs Raith Rovers Analysis →
17:00 Livingston vs Greenock Morton Analysis →