Livingston 1-1 Greenock Morton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 24 Aug 2024

Livingston
1-1 HT 0-0
Greenock Morton
📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2025/2026

Livingston vs Greenock Morton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
33%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.99
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.9
6+ Goals
8%
17.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 32% vs market 27.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.36
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.3
X/1
20%
4.03
X/2 EV+ ✗
14%
8.88
X/X
8%
4.52
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
11%
7.13
2/X
8%
15.15
Value flag · X/2 at 8.88 — our 14% vs market 7.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.0pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.0pp
33%
Away Win
21%
+12.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.4pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Livingston v Greenock Morton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Livingston EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.80/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.21
+2% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +35%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 207 · 63%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
– Crosses 8.0
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Livingston vs Greenock Morton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Livingston
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Greenock Morton
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
The Meetings
07.04.2018 Livingston Livingston 3-2 HT 1-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
13.03.2018 Livingston Livingston 1-1 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
27.02.2018 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-1 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKCL
26.08.2017 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-1 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKCL
15.08.2017 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-2 HT 0-1 Livingston Livingston İKCK
09.04.2016 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 2-1 HT 0-1 Livingston Livingston İKCL
POST-MATCH Livingston vs Greenock Morton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Livingston and Greenock Morton shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Livingston at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Livingston had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Livingston and 0.83 for Greenock Morton.

What was the final score of Livingston vs Greenock Morton?

Livingston 1-1 Greenock Morton in the Scotland - Championship on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Livingston vs Greenock Morton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Livingston win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Livingston 45%, draw 22%, Greenock Morton 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Livingston), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Livingston) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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