Ayr United 3-2 Raith Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Challenge Cup, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.18
Over 2.5
44%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.6
No
55%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
50%
-9.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
42%
+14.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
58%
-14.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.4pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayr United EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Raith Rovers EU Bookmakers 29%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
0.31/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/0.57
-77% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ayr United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Raith Rovers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 6
24.08.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 2-0 HT 1-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
06.04.2024 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
24.02.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 1-2 HT 1-2 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
22.12.2023 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 4-4 HT 2-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
30.09.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 1-2 HT 0-2 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
29.04.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 1-0 HT 0-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
POST-MATCH Ayr United vs Raith Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayr United nicked a narrow win over Raith Rovers 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 33%) promised a tight game; Ayr United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Raith Rovers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ayr United and 1.67 for Raith Rovers.

What was the final score of Ayr United vs Raith Rovers?

Ayr United 3-2 Raith Rovers in the Scotland - Challenge Cup on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayr United vs Raith Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ayr United 40%, draw 26%, Raith Rovers 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ayr United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ayr United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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