Queens Park 2-0 Livingston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
41%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.88
2-3 Goals
35%
1.72
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.64
6+ Goals
9%
15.8
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.64 — our 28% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
5.32
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
26.0
1/X
9%
15.0
X/1
7%
6.9
X/2
13%
4.36
X/X
14%
4.75
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
17%
2.83
2/X
7%
14.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.0 — our 10% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+1.3pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.6pp
41%
Away Win
46%
-6.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queens Park EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Livingston EU Bookmakers 50%
-14% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.16/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.82
+2% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
284 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 78%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.8 Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queens Park
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Livingston
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
02.11.2024 Livingston Livingston 1-1 HT 0-0 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
09.08.2024 Queens Park Queens Park 1-1 HT 1-0 Livingston Livingston İKCL
22.04.2017 Livingston Livingston 4-0 HT 1-0 Queens Park Queens Park İK1
04.03.2017 Queens Park Queens Park 1-1 HT 1-1 Livingston Livingston İK1
24.12.2016 Livingston Livingston 1-2 HT 1-0 Queens Park Queens Park İK1
27.08.2016 Queens Park Queens Park 1-0 HT 1-0 Livingston Livingston İK1
POST-MATCH Queens Park vs Livingston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queens Park got the better of Livingston 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Livingston at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queens Park had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Queens Park and 1.33 for Livingston.

What was the final score of Queens Park vs Livingston?

Queens Park 2-0 Livingston in the Scotland - Championship on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queens Park vs Livingston?

Before kick-off our model rated an Livingston win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Queens Park 29%, draw 30%, Livingston 41%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Livingston) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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