Dunfermline Athletic 0-1 Partick Thistle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.68
Over 2.5
34%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.85
No
63%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
38%
2.74
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
15%
4.27
6+ Goals
8%
21.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 38% vs market 30.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.56
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
6%
14.05
X/1
9%
4.97
X/2
9%
5.58
X/X
17%
4.24
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
16%
4.18
2/X
8%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.9pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.2pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.4pp
66%
Under 2.5
56%
+10.6pp
34%
Over 2.5
44%
-10.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
50%
-13.3pp
63%
BTTS No
50%
+13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Partick Thistle EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +10%
1.44/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.09
-18% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
242 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 71%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
18.0 Crosses 18.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunfermline Athletic
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Partick Thistle
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
2 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 1-0 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
06.04.2024 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
23.02.2024 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 1-3 HT 1-1 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
16.12.2023 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-2 HT 0-2 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
30.09.2023 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 3-0 HT 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
21.01.2023 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 1-1 HT 0-1 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKK
POST-MATCH Dunfermline Athletic vs Partick Thistle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Partick Thistle edged past Dunfermline Athletic 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and on the day Partick Thistle made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Partick Thistle led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dunfermline Athletic and 1.50 for Partick Thistle.

What was the final score of Dunfermline Athletic vs Partick Thistle?

Dunfermline Athletic 0-1 Partick Thistle in the Scotland - Championship on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunfermline Athletic vs Partick Thistle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dunfermline Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dunfermline Athletic 38%, draw 31%, Partick Thistle 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Dunfermline Athletic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dunfermline Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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