Falkirk 6-0 Greenock Morton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.37
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.47
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
22%
2.92
6+ Goals
10%
8.52
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.47 — our 29% vs market 17.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1.65
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
9%
19.3
X/1
10%
3.56
X/2
7%
15.4
X/X
10%
6.95
2/1
6%
21.85
2/2
8%
11.9
2/X
6%
19.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
68%
-12.6pp
25%
Draw
19%
+6.4pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-9.0pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Falkirk EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 16%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +15%
1.47/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.73
-26% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
365 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
8.0 Crosses 2.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Falkirk
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Greenock Morton
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
31.08.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 2-3 HT 2-2 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
09.07.2022 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-0 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKLK
20.04.2019 Falkirk Falkirk 0-2 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
01.03.2019 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-1 HT 1-1 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
15.12.2018 Falkirk Falkirk 0-0 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
20.10.2018 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-0 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
POST-MATCH Falkirk vs Greenock Morton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Falkirk ran out comfortable winners over Greenock Morton 6-0. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Falkirk as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greenock Morton led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Falkirk and 1.00 for Greenock Morton.

What was the final score of Falkirk vs Greenock Morton?

Falkirk 6-0 Greenock Morton in the Scotland - Championship on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Falkirk vs Greenock Morton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Falkirk win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Falkirk 56%, draw 25%, Greenock Morton 19%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Falkirk), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Falkirk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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