Greenock Morton 2-3 Falkirk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 31 Aug 2024

Greenock Morton
2-3 HT 2-2
Falkirk
📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2024/2025

Greenock Morton vs Falkirk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.69
Draw
37%
3.35
Away
41%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.57
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.58
6+ Goals
6%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.8
1/2
5%
28.0
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
16.15
X/1
7%
8.0
X/2
16%
3.9
X/X
16%
4.26
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.52
2/X
10%
15.5
Value flag · 1/X at 16.15 — our 12% vs market 3.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
24%
-1.5pp
37%
Draw
26%
+10.3pp
41%
Away Win
50%
-8.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.9pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Greenock Morton v Falkirk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Falkirk EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +9%
0.95/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/0.49
-5% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +108%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
214 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 76%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
21.0 Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards –

Greenock Morton vs Falkirk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greenock Morton
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Falkirk
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
The Meetings
09.07.2022 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-0 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKLK
20.04.2019 Falkirk Falkirk 0-2 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
01.03.2019 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-1 HT 1-1 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
15.12.2018 Falkirk Falkirk 0-0 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
20.10.2018 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-0 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
10.03.2018 Falkirk Falkirk 3-1 HT 3-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
POST-MATCH Greenock Morton vs Falkirk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Falkirk nicked a narrow win over Greenock Morton 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (22% / 37% / 41%) promised a tight game; Falkirk found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greenock Morton had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Greenock Morton and 0.67 for Falkirk.

What was the final score of Greenock Morton vs Falkirk?

Greenock Morton 2-3 Falkirk in the Scotland - Championship on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenock Morton vs Falkirk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Falkirk win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Greenock Morton 22%, draw 37%, Falkirk 41%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Falkirk) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Falkirk) ✗ Under 2.5
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