Dunfermline Athletic 1-1 Ayr United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 31 Aug 2024

Dunfermline Athletic
1-1 HT 1-1
Ayr United
📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2024/2025

Dunfermline Athletic vs Ayr United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
40%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.82
No
59%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.93
2-3 Goals
34%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.98
6+ Goals
9%
18.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.93 — our 35% vs market 28.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.82
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1
6%
7.54
X/2
9%
4.42
X/X
18%
4.24
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.73
2/X
7%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+2.5pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.7pp
40%
Away Win
46%
-6.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.4pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dunfermline Athletic v Ayr United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayr United EU Bookmakers 50%
-8% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +21%
0.72/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/0.75
-29% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +37%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
246 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Dunfermline Athletic vs Ayr United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunfermline Athletic
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ayr United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
The Meetings
02.03.2024 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 2-0 HT 2-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
30.12.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 2-2 HT 1-2 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
21.10.2023 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-1 HT 0-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
16.04.2022 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 2-1 HT 0-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
05.02.2022 Ayr United Ayr United 1-1 HT 1-1 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
20.11.2021 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 3-0 HT 2-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
POST-MATCH Dunfermline Athletic vs Ayr United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunfermline Athletic and Ayr United shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 32% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dunfermline Athletic had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dunfermline Athletic and 0.83 for Ayr United.

What was the final score of Dunfermline Athletic vs Ayr United?

Dunfermline Athletic 1-1 Ayr United in the Scotland - Championship on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunfermline Athletic vs Ayr United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dunfermline Athletic 28%, draw 32%, Ayr United 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ayr United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ayr United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İKCL More Scotland - Championship
31 Aug 2024
17:00 Greenock Morton vs Falkirk Analysis →
17:00 Raith Rovers vs Livingston Analysis →
17:00 Partick Thistle vs Queens Park Analysis →
17:00 Hamilton vs Airdrieonians Analysis →