Dunfermline Athletic 2-0 Ayr United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 2 Mar 2024

Dunfermline Athletic
2-0 HT 2-0
Ayr United
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2023/2024

Dunfermline Athletic vs Ayr United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
42%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.93
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.98
6+ Goals
11%
18.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.45
1/2
8%
33.0
1/X
8%
13.45
X/1
11%
5.02
X/2
15%
5.82
X/X
10%
4.32
2/1
5%
29.0
2/2
20%
4.24
2/X
7%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
40%
-7.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
42%
Away Win
33%
+9.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dunfermline Athletic v Ayr United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayr United EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -12%
1.39/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.62
-8% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 79%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
26.5 Crosses –
0.5 Yellow Cards –

Dunfermline Athletic vs Ayr United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunfermline Athletic
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ayr United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
The Meetings
30.12.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 2-2 HT 1-2 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
21.10.2023 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-1 HT 0-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
16.04.2022 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 2-1 HT 0-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
05.02.2022 Ayr United Ayr United 1-1 HT 1-1 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
20.11.2021 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 3-0 HT 2-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
11.09.2021 Ayr United Ayr United 3-1 HT 2-1 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL

Dunfermline Athletic 2-0 Ayr United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dunfermline Athletic
2-0
AWAY Ayr United
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 7
8 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Dunfermline Athletic vs Ayr United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunfermline Athletic saw off Ayr United 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ayr United at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Dunfermline Athletic had 55% of the ball to Ayr United's 45%, shots finished 11-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dunfermline Athletic and 1.33 for Ayr United.

What was the final score of Dunfermline Athletic vs Ayr United?

Dunfermline Athletic 2-0 Ayr United in the Scotland - Championship on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunfermline Athletic vs Ayr United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dunfermline Athletic 33%, draw 25%, Ayr United 42%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ayr United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ayr United) ✓ Under 2.5
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