Partick Thistle 1-1 Dundee United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 2 Mar 2024

Partick Thistle
1-1 HT 1-0
Dundee United
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Scotland - Championship – 2023/2024

Partick Thistle vs Dundee United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
46%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.02
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
10.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.02 — our 28% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.21
1/2
12%
22.7
1/X
6%
13.8
X/1
12%
7.49
X/2
10%
4.53
X/X
6%
5.3
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.59
2/X
10%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+3.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.1pp
47%
Away Win
48%
-1.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Partick Thistle v Dundee United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Partick Thistle EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee United EU Bookmakers 52%
-13% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -10%
0.85/2.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.11
-16% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
15.9 Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Partick Thistle vs Dundee United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Partick Thistle
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Dundee United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
The Meetings
29.12.2023 Dundee United Dundee United 3-0 HT 1-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
21.10.2023 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 0-5 HT 0-1 Dundee United Dundee United İKCL
18.07.2023 Dundee United Dundee United 1-2 HT 1-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKLK
12.02.2022 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 0-1 HT 0-1 Dundee United Dundee United İKK
03.04.2021 Dundee United Dundee United 2-1 HT 0-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKK
07.03.2020 Dundee United Dundee United 1-1 HT 1-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL

Partick Thistle 1-1 Dundee United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Partick Thistle
1-1
AWAY Dundee United
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 11
6 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Partick Thistle vs Dundee United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Partick Thistle and Dundee United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Dundee United at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Partick Thistle had 47% of the ball to Dundee United's 53%, shots finished 8-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundee United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Partick Thistle and 2.17 for Dundee United.

What was the final score of Partick Thistle vs Dundee United?

Partick Thistle 1-1 Dundee United in the Scotland - Championship on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Partick Thistle vs Dundee United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dundee United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Partick Thistle 31%, draw 23%, Dundee United 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dundee United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dundee United) ✓ BTTS Yes
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