Raith Rovers 0-1 Livingston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
2.96
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.94
6+ Goals
9%
17.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 29% vs market 28.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.44
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
12%
6.05
X/2
15%
4.9
X/X
12%
4.34
2/1
9%
34.0
2/2
15%
3.3
2/X
6%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.8pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raith Rovers EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Livingston EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.44/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.17
+30% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
184 · 57% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 65%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raith Rovers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Livingston
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
20.01.2024 Livingston Livingston 2-1 HT 1-1 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKK
21.07.2021 Livingston Livingston 0-0 HT 0-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKLK
03.04.2021 Livingston Livingston 2-1 HT 0-1 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKK
18.01.2020 Livingston Livingston 3-1 HT 0-1 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKK
01.05.2016 Livingston Livingston 0-1 HT 0-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
20.02.2016 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Livingston Livingston İKCL
POST-MATCH Raith Rovers vs Livingston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Livingston squeezed past Raith Rovers 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Livingston made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Livingston led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Raith Rovers and 1.17 for Livingston.

What was the final score of Raith Rovers vs Livingston?

Raith Rovers 0-1 Livingston in the Scotland - Championship on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raith Rovers vs Livingston?

Before kick-off our model rated an Livingston win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Raith Rovers 36%, draw 25%, Livingston 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Livingston), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Livingston) ✓ Under 2.5
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