Livingston 2-1 Raith Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Cup, 20 Jan 2024

Livingston
2-1 HT 1-1
Raith Rovers
📅20/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Scotland - Cup – 2023/2024

Livingston vs Raith Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.62
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.33
6+ Goals
9%
22.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.33
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
10%
13.75
X/1
10%
4.76
X/2
15%
5.97
X/X
16%
4.05
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
13%
4.57
2/X
4%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.6pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Livingston v Raith Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Livingston EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Raith Rovers EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
0.72/0.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.01/0.01
-54% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +70% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
258 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 68%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Livingston vs Raith Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Livingston
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Raith Rovers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
The Meetings
21.07.2021 Livingston Livingston 0-0 HT 0-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKLK
03.04.2021 Livingston Livingston 2-1 HT 0-1 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKK
18.01.2020 Livingston Livingston 3-1 HT 0-1 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKK
01.05.2016 Livingston Livingston 0-1 HT 0-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
20.02.2016 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Livingston Livingston İKCL
31.10.2015 Livingston Livingston 3-0 HT 1-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
POST-MATCH Livingston vs Raith Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Livingston edged past Raith Rovers 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Livingston made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Livingston had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Livingston and 0.83 for Raith Rovers.

What was the final score of Livingston vs Raith Rovers?

Livingston 2-1 Raith Rovers in the Scotland - Cup on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Livingston vs Raith Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Livingston win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Livingston 36%, draw 29%, Raith Rovers 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Livingston) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Livingston) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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