Ayr United 3-0 Kelty Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Cup, 20 Jan 2024

Ayr United
3-0 HT 0-0
Kelty Hearts
📅20/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Scotland - Cup – 2023/2024

Ayr United vs Kelty Hearts Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.07
Over 2.5
59%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.61
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.13
6+ Goals
13%
10.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
60%
-12.3pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.3pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.6pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ayr United v Kelty Hearts — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayr United EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 21%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.38/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.81
-37% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
374 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Ayr United vs Kelty Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayr United ran out comfortable winners over Kelty Hearts 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ayr United as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

What was the final score of Ayr United vs Kelty Hearts?

Ayr United 3-0 Kelty Hearts in the Scotland - Cup on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayr United vs Kelty Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ayr United 47%, draw 26%, Kelty Hearts 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ayr United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ayr United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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