Greenock Morton 2-0 Montrose — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Cup, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.42
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.0
Over 2.5
59%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.03
No
48%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.41
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.26
6+ Goals
15%
11.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
66%
-1.3pp
18%
Draw
21%
-2.9pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
46%
-5.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
54%
+5.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
45%
+6.6pp
48%
BTTS No
55%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Montrose EU Bookmakers 16%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
3.18/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.81
+48% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greenock Morton
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Montrose
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
09.10.2021 Montrose Montrose 0-0 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCK
27.08.2013 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 4-0 HT 0-0 Montrose Montrose İKLK
22.03.2003 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-0 HT 1-0 Montrose Montrose İK2
25.02.2003 Montrose Montrose 0-0 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İK2
23.11.2002 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 4-2 HT 2-0 Montrose Montrose İK2
21.09.2002 Montrose Montrose 2-5 HT 1-2 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İK2
POST-MATCH Greenock Morton vs Montrose
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greenock Morton got the better of Montrose 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Greenock Morton as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greenock Morton had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Greenock Morton and 0.67 for Montrose.

What was the final score of Greenock Morton vs Montrose?

Greenock Morton 2-0 Montrose in the Scotland - Cup on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenock Morton vs Montrose?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greenock Morton win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Greenock Morton 65%, draw 18%, Montrose 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greenock Morton) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Greenock Morton) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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