Spartans 1-2 Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Cup, 20 Jan 2024

Spartans
1-2 HT 0-1
Hearts
📅20/01/2024 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Scotland - Cup – 2023/2024

Spartans vs Hearts Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.91
Draw
26%
4.49
Away
54%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.38
Over 2.5
50%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.42
2-3 Goals
44%
1.85
4-5 Goals
18%
2.77
6+ Goals
11%
7.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.42 — our 27% vs market 16.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
14%
+6.5pp
26%
Draw
19%
+6.8pp
54%
Away Win
67%
-13.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.4pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Spartans v Hearts — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartans EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Hearts EU Bookmakers 71%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.64/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.08/0.07
+45% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +150%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
276 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 0.0

Spartans 1-2 Hearts — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartans
1-2
AWAY Hearts
27% Ball Possession 73%
4 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 12
2 Corners 12
POST-MATCH Spartans vs Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hearts nicked a narrow win over Spartans 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hearts as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Spartans had 27% of the ball to Hearts's 73%, shots finished 4-17.

What was the final score of Spartans vs Hearts?

Spartans 1-2 Hearts in the Scotland - Cup on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartans vs Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Spartans 20%, draw 26%, Hearts 54%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hearts) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hearts) ✗ BTTS No
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