Motherwell 3-1 Alloa Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Cup, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.37
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.05
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
28%
2.91
6+ Goals
10%
8.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
69%
-14.3pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.3pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+9.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.6pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motherwell EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 15%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.68/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/3.41
-36% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +75% / -24%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
414 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Motherwell vs Alloa Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motherwell beat Alloa Athletic 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Motherwell as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Motherwell vs Alloa Athletic?

Motherwell 3-1 Alloa Athletic in the Scotland - Cup on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motherwell vs Alloa Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motherwell win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Motherwell 54%, draw 24%, Alloa Athletic 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motherwell), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Motherwell) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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