Kilmarnock 2-0 Dundee FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Cup, 20 Jan 2024

Kilmarnock
2-0 HT 2-0
Dundee FC
📅20/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Scotland - Cup – 2023/2024

Kilmarnock vs Dundee FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
34%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.09
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.74
6+ Goals
8%
16.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 29% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.64
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
15%
4.3
X/2
7%
7.45
X/X
11%
4.54
2/1
6%
25.0
2/2
19%
5.7
2/X
10%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-9.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+8.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.3pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kilmarnock v Dundee FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.05/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.01
-43% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 68%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Kilmarnock vs Dundee FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kilmarnock
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Dundee FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.12 xG 1.01
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
316 Passes 182
73% Pass Accuracy 62%
27 Box Touches 20
30 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.12.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-2 HT 0-1 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
23.09.2023 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
24.05.2021 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-2 HT 0-2 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKCL
20.05.2021 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKCL
06.02.2019 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-2 HT 2-1 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
15.12.2018 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 3-1 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP

Kilmarnock 2-0 Dundee FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kilmarnock
2-0
AWAY Dundee FC
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kilmarnock vs Dundee FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kilmarnock beat Dundee FC 2-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Kilmarnock found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Kilmarnock had 36% of the ball to Dundee FC's 64%, shots finished 7-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundee FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Kilmarnock and 1.83 for Dundee FC.

What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs Dundee FC?

Kilmarnock 2-0 Dundee FC in the Scotland - Cup on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kilmarnock vs Dundee FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kilmarnock win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kilmarnock 39%, draw 27%, Dundee FC 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kilmarnock), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kilmarnock) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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