Ross County 0-3 Partick Thistle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Cup, 20 Jan 2024

Ross County
0-3 HT 0-2
Partick Thistle
📅20/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Scotland - Cup – 2023/2024

Ross County vs Partick Thistle Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.73
2-3 Goals
34%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.16
6+ Goals
12%
10.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 28% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.88
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
8%
12.85
X/1
12%
4.81
X/2
12%
6.72
X/X
13%
4.95
2/1
10%
23.85
2/2
11%
4.61
2/X
6%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ross County v Partick Thistle — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ross County EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Partick Thistle EU Bookmakers 33%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.97/2.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/0.39
+29% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
247 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 66%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards –

Ross County vs Partick Thistle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ross County
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Partick Thistle
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
237 Passes 310
65% Pass Accuracy 70%
28 Box Touches 44
28 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.06.2023 Ross County Ross County 3-1 HT 0-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
01.06.2023 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 2-0 HT 2-0 Ross County Ross County İKCL
17.08.2019 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 1-1 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKLK
13.04.2019 Ross County Ross County 0-0 HT 0-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
23.02.2019 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 2-4 HT 2-0 Ross County Ross County İKCL
22.12.2018 Ross County Ross County 2-0 HT 1-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL

Ross County 0-3 Partick Thistle — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ross County
0-3
AWAY Partick Thistle
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ross County vs Partick Thistle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Partick Thistle cruised past Ross County 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Ross County at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ross County had 55% of the ball to Partick Thistle's 45%, shots finished 15-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ross County had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ross County and 1.00 for Partick Thistle.

What was the final score of Ross County vs Partick Thistle?

Ross County 0-3 Partick Thistle in the Scotland - Cup on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ross County vs Partick Thistle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ross County win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ross County 44%, draw 27%, Partick Thistle 29%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Ross County), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ross County) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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