Dunfermline Athletic 0-2 Partick Thistle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.46
2-3 Goals
36%
1.71
4-5 Goals
23%
4.29
6+ Goals
9%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.66
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.75
X/1
12%
5.17
X/2
12%
5.76
X/X
15%
4.03
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
13%
4.32
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.95
Value flag · 2/X at 13.95 — our 10% vs market 4.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.4pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.1pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Partick Thistle EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +17%
1.44/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.09
-19% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
284 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 71%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
18.0 Crosses 18.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunfermline Athletic
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Partick Thistle
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
2 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2025 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
04.01.2025 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 1-4 HT 1-3 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
02.11.2024 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
21.09.2024 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 1-0 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
06.04.2024 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
23.02.2024 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 1-3 HT 1-1 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
POST-MATCH Dunfermline Athletic vs Partick Thistle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Partick Thistle beat Dunfermline Athletic 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Partick Thistle found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dunfermline Athletic and 0.83 for Partick Thistle.

What was the final score of Dunfermline Athletic vs Partick Thistle?

Dunfermline Athletic 0-2 Partick Thistle in the Scotland - Championship on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunfermline Athletic vs Partick Thistle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dunfermline Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dunfermline Athletic 40%, draw 31%, Partick Thistle 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dunfermline Athletic), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dunfermline Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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