Greenock Morton 1-1 Ross County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 27 Sep 2025

Greenock Morton
1-1 HT 0-1
Ross County
📅27/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Scotland - Championship – 2025/2026

Greenock Morton vs Ross County Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.74
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.81
6+ Goals
8%
17.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.91
1/2
9%
27.5
1/X
6%
14.15
X/1
11%
6.48
X/2
22%
4.8
X/X
14%
4.39
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
10%
3.11
2/X
7%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
42%
Away Win
42%
-0.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Greenock Morton v Ross County — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Ross County EU Bookmakers 46%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
1.23/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.80
+11% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -42%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
250 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 72%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
9.5 Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards –

Greenock Morton vs Ross County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greenock Morton
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ross County
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
The Meetings
22.07.2023 Ross County Ross County 2-1 HT 0-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKLK
09.03.2019 Ross County Ross County 2-0 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
04.01.2019 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-0 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKCL
27.10.2018 Ross County Ross County 5-0 HT 2-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
25.08.2018 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 2-1 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKCL
21.04.2012 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-1 HT 1-1 Ross County Ross County İKCL
POST-MATCH Greenock Morton vs Ross County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greenock Morton and Ross County couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ross County at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ross County led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Greenock Morton and 1.83 for Ross County.

What was the final score of Greenock Morton vs Ross County?

Greenock Morton 1-1 Ross County in the Scotland - Championship on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenock Morton vs Ross County?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ross County win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Greenock Morton 31%, draw 27%, Ross County 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ross County), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ross County) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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