Raith Rovers 3-0 Arbroath — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.99
No
47%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.76
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
3.78
6+ Goals
10%
17.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.76 — our 30% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.16
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.55
X/1
21%
3.96
X/2
6%
9.72
X/X
14%
4.82
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
10%
8.4
2/X
6%
17.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-4.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.9pp
47%
BTTS No
54%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raith Rovers EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Arbroath EU Bookmakers 22%
-7% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.82/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.65
+6% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
405 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.5
Crosses 13.5
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raith Rovers
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Arbroath
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
01.03.2024 Arbroath Arbroath 3-2 HT 0-1 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
30.12.2023 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 2-2 HT 1-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
13.12.2023 Arbroath Arbroath 1-2 HT 1-1 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
15.04.2023 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 1-1 HT 1-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
04.02.2023 Arbroath Arbroath 1-2 HT 1-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
17.12.2022 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 1-1 HT 1-1 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
POST-MATCH Raith Rovers vs Arbroath
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raith Rovers ran out comfortable winners over Arbroath 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Raith Rovers as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Raith Rovers had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Raith Rovers and 1.50 for Arbroath.

What was the final score of Raith Rovers vs Arbroath?

Raith Rovers 3-0 Arbroath in the Scotland - Championship on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raith Rovers vs Arbroath?

Before kick-off our model rated a Raith Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Raith Rovers 52%, draw 26%, Arbroath 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Raith Rovers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Raith Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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