Ayr United 4-2 Airdrieonians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.32
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.22
6+ Goals
8%
11.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 26% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.07
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.8
X/1
12%
4.1
X/2
9%
10.1
X/X
11%
5.35
2/1
8%
22.55
2/2
9%
8.18
2/X
7%
16.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-5.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayr United EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Airdrieonians EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -15%
1.74/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.53
+1% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
420 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
5.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ayr United
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Airdrieonians
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
01.03.2025 Ayr United Ayr United 4-1 HT 3-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
26.10.2024 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 0-1 HT 0-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
09.08.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 5-0 HT 2-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
29.03.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 2-1 HT 0-1 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
17.02.2024 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 2-3 HT 1-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
16.12.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 1-0 HT 1-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
POST-MATCH Ayr United vs Airdrieonians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayr United saw off Airdrieonians 4-2. Half-time: 4-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ayr United as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ayr United had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Ayr United and 0.67 for Airdrieonians.

What was the final score of Ayr United vs Airdrieonians?

Ayr United 4-2 Airdrieonians in the Scotland - Championship on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayr United vs Airdrieonians?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ayr United 51%, draw 27%, Airdrieonians 22%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ayr United), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ayr United) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İKCL More Scotland - Championship
27 Sep 2025
17:00 Dunfermline Athletic vs Partick Thistle Analysis →
17:00 Queens Park vs St. Johnstone Analysis →
17:00 Raith Rovers vs Arbroath Analysis →
17:00 Greenock Morton vs Ross County Analysis →