Airdrieonians 0-1 Ayr United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
41%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.59
6+ Goals
11%
14.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
6.29
1/2
6%
24.45
1/X
7%
14.45
X/1
6%
8.24
X/2
11%
4.21
X/X
20%
4.74
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.46
2/X
6%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+2.1pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.8pp
41%
Away Win
51%
-9.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Airdrieonians EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayr United EU Bookmakers 55%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +13%
1.17/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/0.55
+18% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +90%
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
278 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
6.0 Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Airdrieonians
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Ayr United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
09.08.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 5-0 HT 2-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
29.03.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 2-1 HT 0-1 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
17.02.2024 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 2-3 HT 1-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
16.12.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 1-0 HT 1-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
07.10.2023 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 1-2 HT 0-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
30.04.2011 Ayr United Ayr United 3-1 HT 0-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İK1
POST-MATCH Airdrieonians vs Ayr United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayr United squeezed past Airdrieonians 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ayr United as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ayr United led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Airdrieonians and 2.67 for Ayr United.

What was the final score of Airdrieonians vs Ayr United?

Airdrieonians 0-1 Ayr United in the Scotland - Championship on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Airdrieonians vs Ayr United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Airdrieonians 26%, draw 33%, Ayr United 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ayr United), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ayr United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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