Hamilton 3-0 Greenock Morton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.78
Over 2.5
34%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.76
No
61%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
40%
3.01
2-3 Goals
34%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.88
6+ Goals
8%
17.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 40% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.41
1/2
9%
31.5
1/X
7%
13.95
X/1
13%
4.96
X/2
12%
5.7
X/X
13%
4.54
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
14%
4.15
2/X
9%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.5pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.5pp
66%
Under 2.5
52%
+13.6pp
34%
Over 2.5
48%
-13.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
53%
-14.0pp
61%
BTTS No
47%
+14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamilton EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.24/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.15
-14% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
275 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamilton
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Greenock Morton
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 11
11.10.2024 Hamilton Hamilton 0-1 HT 0-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCK
10.08.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-0 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
11.04.2023 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 2-0 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
14.01.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 1-0 HT 1-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
08.10.2022 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 5-0 HT 3-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
30.07.2022 Hamilton Hamilton 1-1 HT 1-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
POST-MATCH Hamilton vs Greenock Morton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamilton swept aside Greenock Morton 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Hamilton made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (66%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greenock Morton led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Hamilton and 1.50 for Greenock Morton.

What was the final score of Hamilton vs Greenock Morton?

Hamilton 3-0 Greenock Morton in the Scotland - Championship on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamilton vs Greenock Morton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamilton win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Hamilton 36%, draw 30%, Greenock Morton 35%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamilton), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hamilton) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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