Livingston 2-1 Raith Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.06
No
61%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.47
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
4.83
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.58
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.75
X/1
17%
4.02
X/2
11%
8.11
X/X
8%
3.96
2/1
9%
29.0
2/2
8%
6.92
2/X
10%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-1.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.8pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Livingston EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Raith Rovers EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
1.80/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.60
+5% / +109% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
266 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 181 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
Crosses 13.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Livingston
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Raith Rovers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
31.08.2024 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 0-1 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKCL
20.01.2024 Livingston Livingston 2-1 HT 1-1 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKK
21.07.2021 Livingston Livingston 0-0 HT 0-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKLK
03.04.2021 Livingston Livingston 2-1 HT 0-1 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKK
18.01.2020 Livingston Livingston 3-1 HT 0-1 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKK
01.05.2016 Livingston Livingston 0-1 HT 0-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
POST-MATCH Livingston vs Raith Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Livingston squeezed past Raith Rovers 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Livingston as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Livingston had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Livingston and 0.67 for Raith Rovers.

What was the final score of Livingston vs Raith Rovers?

Livingston 2-1 Raith Rovers in the Scotland - Championship on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Livingston vs Raith Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Livingston win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Livingston 49%, draw 26%, Raith Rovers 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Livingston) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Livingston) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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