Falkirk 2-1 Dunfermline Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 26 Oct 2024

Falkirk
2-1 HT 1-0
Dunfermline Athletic
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2024/2025

Falkirk vs Dunfermline Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.45
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.86
Over 2.5
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.24
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.63
6+ Goals
9%
14.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 33% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.8
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
18.95
X/1
22%
3.43
X/2
5%
13.4
X/X
12%
5.59
2/1
9%
24.85
2/2
9%
11.5
2/X
9%
20.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
65%
-11.5pp
28%
Draw
21%
+6.4pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+5.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+8.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-8.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.5pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Falkirk v Dunfermline Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Falkirk EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 17%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -7%
1.54/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.57
-18% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
8.0 Crosses 2.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 4.0

Falkirk vs Dunfermline Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Falkirk
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
The Meetings
10.08.2024 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-2 HT 0-1 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
08.04.2023 Falkirk Falkirk 2-2 HT 2-2 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İK1
07.03.2023 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 2-0 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
05.11.2022 Falkirk Falkirk 0-1 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İK1
17.09.2022 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
09.10.2020 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 2-0 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKLK
POST-MATCH Falkirk vs Dunfermline Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Falkirk nicked a narrow win over Dunfermline Athletic 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Falkirk as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dunfermline Athletic led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Falkirk and 1.33 for Dunfermline Athletic.

What was the final score of Falkirk vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Falkirk 2-1 Dunfermline Athletic in the Scotland - Championship on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Falkirk vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Falkirk win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Falkirk 53%, draw 28%, Dunfermline Athletic 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Falkirk) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Falkirk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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