Airdrieonians 2-3 Ayr United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.73
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
4.19
6+ Goals
8%
20.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.23
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.45
X/1
14%
4.72
X/2
10%
6.09
X/X
11%
4.09
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
14%
4.62
2/X
8%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.2pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Airdrieonians EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayr United EU Bookmakers 34%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +10%
1.28/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.75
-15% / +110% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Airdrieonians
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Ayr United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
16.12.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 1-0 HT 1-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
07.10.2023 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 1-2 HT 0-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
30.04.2011 Ayr United Ayr United 3-1 HT 0-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İK1
14.08.2010 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 2-2 HT 0-1 Ayr United Ayr United İK1
26.04.2008 Ayr United Ayr United 1-2 HT 1-1 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İK1
19.03.2008 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 0-2 HT 0-0 Ayr United Ayr United İK1
POST-MATCH Airdrieonians vs Ayr United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayr United edged past Airdrieonians 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Airdrieonians at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ayr United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Airdrieonians and 1.83 for Ayr United.

What was the final score of Airdrieonians vs Ayr United?

Airdrieonians 2-3 Ayr United in the Scotland - Championship on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Airdrieonians vs Ayr United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Airdrieonians win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Airdrieonians 42%, draw 28%, Ayr United 30%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Airdrieonians) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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